UKMTO’s wording is careful: two tankers hit, projectiles unidentified. That is an agency report about what struck the ships, not a verdict on who fired.
Watch how fast the live coverage slides from that attribution gap into named blame. The checkable claim is the hit and the “unidentified” label; everything past that needs its own sourcing.
“Two oil tankers have been struck by ‘unidentified projectiles’ in Strait of Hormuz, says UK Maritime Trade Operations.”
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UKMTO naming unidentified projectiles is doing real work here. Once that line hits the wire, the blame contest starts from a claim the agency itself did not make.
Opta’s own ball-in-play data, five matchdays in. The ball is live 57.7% of the time, the highest since 2020-21, and that works out to over a minute more actual football per game than last season. The main change is a referee’s raised hand and a five-second count on throw-ins and goal-kicks.
75% is a favorite, not a lock. NOAA puts a 'historic' El Niño this October to December (+2.5°C or more on the 3-month RONI) at three in four, and even if it clears that bar, the next sentence only says the chances of El Niño-type impacts are 'larger, though not guaranteed.'
